Avatar: The Way of Water (c) 20th Century Studios
Thanksgiving is start of the onslaught for Oscar voters and critics group. So, let’s take one more look, objectively (without the influences of critics’ awards) to see which films has the best chance of getting some Oscar love. The only films with Oscar chances still unseen are "Avatar: The Way of Water" and “Roald Dahl’s Mathilda.” I am also including my Best Score predictions here instead of at Film Score Monthly this year because timing is off at the magazine, and I won’t be able talk about Best Score until after the short list is announced. So, enjoy this month’s bonus category.
Best Picture
Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (c) Netflix
Frontrunners:
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
“Bardo”
“Everything Everywhere All at Once”
“The Fabelmans”
“Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio”
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
“RRR”
“TÁR”
“Top Gun: Maverick”
“Women Talking”
Possible:
“Avatar: The Way of Water”
“Babylon”
“Elvis”
“Empire of Light”
“She Said”
Best Director
The Fabelmans (c) Universal Pictures
Frontrunners:
Todd Field – “TAR”
Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Sarah Polley – “Women Talking”
Steven Spielberg – “The Fabelmans”
Possible:
James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water”
Park Chan-wook – “Decision to Leave”
Guillermo del Toro - “Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio”
Alejandro González Iñárritu – “Bardo”
S.S. Rajamouli – “RRR”
Best Actor
Hustle (c) Netflix
Frontrunners:
Colin Farrell – “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Brendan Fraser – “The Whale”
Brendan Gleeson – “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Bill Nighy – “Living”
Jeremy Pope – “The Inspection”
Possible:
Austin Butler – “Elvis”
Daniel Craig – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
Paul Mescal – “Aftersun”
Park Hae-il – “Decision to Leave”
Adam Sandler – “Hustle”
Best Actress
Blonde (c) Netflix
Frontrunners:
Cate Blanchett – “TÁR”
Viola Davis – “The Woman King”
Danielle Deadwyler - “Till”
Michelle Williams – “The Fabelmans”
Michelle Yeoh – “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Possible:
Olivia Colman – “Empire of Light”
Ana de Armis – “Blonde”
Vicky Krieps – “Corsage”
Jennifer Lawrence – “Causeway”
Emma Thompson – “Good Luck to You, Leo Grande”
Best Supporting Actor
Causeway (c) Apple TV+
Frontrunners:
Paul Dano – “The Fabelmans”
Brian Tyree Henry – “Causeway”
Anthony Hopkins – “Armageddon Time”
Barry Keoghan – “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Ke Huy Quan – “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Possible:
Judd Hirsch – “The Fabelmans”
Eddie Redmayne – “The Good Nurse”
Mark Rylance – “Bones and All”
Ben Whishaw – “Women Talking”
Steven Yuen – “Nope”
Best Supporting Actress
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c) Marvel Studios. Disney
Frontrunners:
Jessie Buckley – “Women Talking”
Claire Foy – “Women Talking”
Jamie Lee Curtis – “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Emma Thompson – “Roald Dahl’s Mathilda”
Gabrielle Union – “The Inspection”
Possible:
Angela Bassett – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Patricia Clarkson – “She Said”
Kerry Condon – “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Janelle Monáe – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
Tang Wei – “Decision to Leave”
Best Original Screenplay
TÁR (c) Focus Feature
Frontrunners:
“Babylon”
“The Banshees of Inisherin”
“Everything Everywhere All at Once”
“The Fabelmans”
“TÁR”
Possible:
“Armageddon Time”
“Bros”
“Decision to Leave”
“No Bears”
“Triangle of Sadness”
Best Adapted Screenplay
She Said (c) Universal Pictures
Frontrunners:
“After Yang”
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
“Living”
“She Said”
“Women Talking”
Possible:
“Avatar: The Way of Water”
"The Northman”
“The Son”
“The Whale"
“White Noise”
Best Original Score
The Batman (c) Warner Bros
Frontrunners:
“The Banshees of Inisherin” – Carter Burwell
“The Fabelmans” – John Williams
“Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio” – Alexandre Desplat
“The Woman King” – Terrence Blanchard
“Women Talking” - Hildur Guðnadóttir
Possible:
“Avatar: The Way of Water” - Simon Franglen
“Babylon” - Justin Hurwitz
"The Batman" – Michael Giacchino
“Good Night Oppy” – Blake Neely
“Nope” - Michael Abels
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