The 79th Tony Award Predictions – May 2026

Ragtime (c) Matthew Murphy

The 79th Tony Awards will be handed out on Sunday, June 7. I will post my final predictions the Friday before the awards. But here are my thoughts of who are the front-runners of the major categories as of two weeks before the ceremony. 

Enjoy! 

Film Reviews: Need a Movie to Watch This Holiday? Some Thoughts on “Grogu” and Raiders of the Lost Hutt; “Tuner,” Which Makes Hyperacusis Sexy; an “Obsession” That’s a Straight White Boy’s Nightmare Comes True; and Other

The Mandalorian and Grogu (c) Walt Disney Studios

Film: The Mandalorian and Grogu 
In Cinemas 

Even though we haven’t gotten a theatrical Star Wars film in the cineplex since 2019’s The Rise of Skywalker (a number of disgruntled fans said it indirectly caused the pandemic … it didn’t), I can still tell you the many rules director Jon Favreau eschews in his big screen continuation of the Disney+ series he helped create, The Mandalorian, this time adding the real star of the show: Grogu. Although the film does start with a title card (but not a scroll), it is the first “Star Wars” with Main Title credits (faint!), which is why I knew Amy Sedaris’ TV character would not be in the film, although I was prepared for Sigourney Weaver being a rebel badass, and Jeremy Allen White … as a Hutt? Of course, if you have White voicing a CGI creature, you can’t have him speak Huttese, so for some reason, all the Hutts in this film speak English. The film has the photogenic Pedro Pascal as the titular Mandalorian bounty hunter, and like the show, we rarely see his face. Most kids (okay, and me) will want to see the movie for Grogu (aka Baby Yoda, aka The Child), and the dang puppet sure does deliver, although the inclusion of those Babu Fricks (Anzellans, if I must) makes me think they needed to up the cute quotient a bit (and have them speak the words Grogu, at 50 years old, still hasn’t mastered yet). My problem with the series was that it wanted to legitimize and canonize the animated “Clone Wars” series of yore by Dave Filoni, but thankfully, except for a few instances, including Filoni himself returning as a rebel pilot, a lot of that messy soap opera are not here. In fact, the Force are barely referenced at all, and when it is, I could tell composer Ludwig Göransson wanted to quote John Williams so badly in his exciting and fantastic score. The Lucasfilm franchise this film most resembles is not Star Wars, but Indiana Jones, with Mando’s helmet being as important as Indy’s hat. As a treat for the start of the summer season, it’s a pretty good ride. 

Off-Broadway Reviews: The Past Is Not Full of Rosy Memories in a Rediscovered “Thornton Wilder’s The Emporium,” A British Real Crime Import, “Kenrex” or “Broken Snow,” a Play About a Family Without Pity

Thornton Wilder's The Emporium (c) Marc J. Franklin

Theater: Thornton Wilder’s The Emporium 
At Classic Stage Company 

Some plays need to be seen for the novelty of it all, and that is certainly the case for Thornton Wilder’s The Emporium, the never-performed (in his lifetime) full-length play by Thornton Wilder (1897-1975), whose two most well-known plays, Our Town (1938) and The Skin of Our Teeth (1942) won Pulitzer Prizes and are still widely produced (the former was on Broadway last season and the latter was just adapted into a musical). Even the prologue to its New York premiere at CSC, written by Kirk Lynn, who was the one who pieced together the hundreds of pages of Wilder’s many drafts into what we’re seeing now, seems mostly to play into the audience’s curiosity of what this play could be about and whether it should have stayed in the proverbial desk drawer. The answer to the last question is unfortunately more yes than no. Like Stephen Sondheim’s underwhelming Here We Are, sometimes the writer knows the quality of their work better than their admirers who understandably are hungry for any morsel of artistic output (this theme is explored in Steven Soderburgh’s recent film, The Christophers). Unlike posthumous masterpieces like Eugene O’Neill’s Long Day’s Journey Into Night or E.M. Forester’s Maurice, The Emporium was never finished, and although there are plenty of interesting ideas floating around the story of an orphan whose American dream is to work for the nebulous and mysterious titled, big city department store, it never coalesces into a workable metaphor. The Emporium is the almost unattainable dream of the few willing to achieve it, while everyone else with no such ambitions, can be sated by the other department store, the popular but less refined Craigie’s, the name of which is uttered more times in the play than the name Antrobus in The Skin of Our Teeth.

‘Schmigadoon!’ and “Prince Faggot” Lead LGBTQ Critics’ Dorian Theater Award Nominations for 2026

Schmigadoon! (c) Matthew Murphy and Evan Zimmerman

Here are the nominees of the 2025-2026 Broadway and Off-Broadway season for GALECA's Dorian Theater Awards. A note on eligibility: Cats: The Jellicle Ball, Liberation, and Titaníque were recognized by the Dorian Theater awards for their original Off-Broadway productions. As such, only “new elements” of their Broadway transfers were eligible for consideration this year. 

Winners of the 2026 Dorian Theater Awards will be announced on Monday, June 1, 2026. 

Theater: Recipients of The 80th Theatre World Awards

(c) Theatre World Awards

The 80th Theatre World Award Honorees for Outstanding Broadway or Off-Broadway Debut Performance have been announced for the 2025-2026 season.   The Awards witll be presented at a ceremony on Tuesday, June 2 at the Longacre Theatre.

Again, I am honored to be on the selection committee, and this is a great Class of 2026