Every Brilliant Thing (c) Matthew Murphy
It’s the last day of March, and Broadway has started to stir after a rather uneventful early 2026. But there are a dozen shows opening before the Tony Awards cut-off, most of which have started previews or will do so in the next couple of days.
What better time to make so early (and blind) Tony predictions based on what has opened so far and making assumptions based on reputation of the creators or actors of the show we haven’t seen yet. And there’s the issue of the Tony Awards Committee to set who is eligible for what award, which doesn’t get announced until a couple of days before nominations are voted on.
So, this is just fun. No disrespect to the shows that I left out. I probably wouldn’t have thought The Outsiders or John Proctor is the Villain was going to be the hits they turned out to be before they opened. The cutoff date is April 28. The nominations will be announced on May 5.
Enjoy.
The Interested Bystander’s
2024-25 Tony Nomination Predictions
PLAYS
The Fear of 13 (c) Emilio Madrid
Best Play
The Balusters by David Lindsay-Abaire
Liberation by Beth Wohl
The Fear of 13 by Lindsey Ferrentino
Giant by Mark Rosenblatt
(possible)
Dog Day Afternoon by Stephen Adly Guirgis
Little Bear Ridge Road by Samuel D. Hunter
Becky Shaw (c) Marc J. Franklin
Best Play Revival:
Becky Shaw by Gina Gionfriddo
Fallen Angels
Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Marjorie Prime by Jordan Harrison
Oedipus, adapated by Robert Icke
Bug by Tracy Letts
Every Brilliant Thing by Duncan MacMillan & Johnny Donahoe
Oedipus (c) Julieta Cervantes
Best Actress (Play)
Carrie Coon, Bug
Ayo Edebiri, Proof
Lesley Manville, Oedipus
Laurie Metcalf, Death of a Salesman
June Squibb, Marjorie Prime
Taraji P. Henson, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Kelli O’Hara, Fallen Angels
Best Actor (Play)
Adrien Brody, The Fear of 13
Nathan Lane, Death of a Salesman
John Lithgow, Giant
Daniel Radcliffe, Every Brilliant Thing
Mark Strong, Oedipus
Jon Bernthal, Dog Day Afternoon
Don Cheadle, Proof
Majorie Prime (c) Joan Marcus
Best Featured Actress (Play)
Betsy Aidem, Liberation
Aya Cash, Giant
Linda Emond, Becky Shaw
Cynthia Nixon, Marjorie Prime
Kara Young, Proof
Marylouise Burke, The Balusters
Margaret Colin, The Balusters
Best Featured Actor (Play)
Christopher Abbott, Death of a Salesman
Danny Burstein, Marjorie Prime
Jin Ha, Proof
Ruben Santiago Hudson, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Richard Thomas, The Balusters
Patrick Ball, Becky Shaw
Joshua Boone, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Liberation (c) Little Fang
Best Director (Play)
Nicholas Hytner, Giant
Robert Icke, Oedipus
Anne Kauffman, Marjorie Prime
Kenny Leon, The Balusters
Whitney White, Liberation
David Cromer, The Fear of 13
Joe Mantello, Death of Salesman
MUSICALS:
The Lost Boys (c) Matthew Murphy
Best Musical
The Lost Boys
Schmigadoon!
Titanique
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Beaches
The Queen of Versailles
Ragtime (c) Matthew Murphy
Best Musical Revival
Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Ragtime
The Rocky Horror Show
Chess
Best Actress (Musical)
Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Lea Michele, Chess
Marla Mindelle, Titanique
Christiani Pitts, Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Sara Chase, Schmigadoon!
Jessica Vosk, Beaches
Chess (c) Matthew Murphy
Best Actor (Musical)
Nicholas Christopher, Chess
Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Sam Tutty, Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Brandon Uranowitz, Ragtime
Alex Brightman, Schmigadoon!
Luke Evans, The Rocky Horror Show
Best Featured Actress (Musical)
Hannah Cruz, Chess
Ana Gasteyer, Schmigadoon!
Amber Gray, The Rocky Horror Show
Nichelle Lewis, Ragtime
“Tempress” Chasity Moore, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Deborah Cox, Titanique
Stephanie Hsu, The Rocky Horror Show
Cats: The Jellicle Ball (c) Andy Henderson
Best Featured Actor (Musical)
André de Shields, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Harvey Guillén, The Rocky Horror Show
Sydney James Harcourt, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Jim Parsons, Titanique
Bryce Pinkham, Chess
John Riddle, Titanique
Ben Levi Ross, Ragtime
Director (Musical)
Lear deBessonet, Ragtime
Zhailon Levingston and Bill Rauch, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Christopher Gattelli, Schmigadoon!
Tim Jackson, Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Sam Pinkleton, The Rocky Horror Show
Tye Blue, Titanique
Michael Meyer, Chess
Best Book of a Broadway Musical
Chess
Schmigadoon!
Titanique
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Beaches
The Lost Boys
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Two Strangers (Carrying a Cake Across New York (c) Matthew Murphy
Best Score of a Production
Beaches
The Lost Boys
The Queen of Versailles
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
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