Friday, February 20, 2026

The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Predictions Path: February 2026


One Battle After Another (c) Warner Bros.



With the Oscars heading into its last lap before they give out their awards on March 15, we look to the awards given out so far (and to come) to see if we have any clues as to who will win. 


Critic’s Choice: Given Out on Jan 14 
Golden Globes: Given Out on Jan 11 
DGA Awards: Given Out on Feb 7 


BAFTA (Predictions): To Be Given Out This Sunday, Feb 22 
SAG’s Actor Awards (Predictions): To Be Given Out Sunday, March 1 
Writer’s Guild Awards (Predictions): To Be Given Out Sunday, March 8 


TIB Oscar Prediction: As of Today, My Prediction, To Be Given Out Sunday, March 15 


Enjoy my predicted path to the Oscar winners. 



The Interested Bystander’s 
2025-26 Oscar Predictions 



Best Picture: 


Critic’s Choice: One Battle After Another 
Golden Globes (Drama): Hamnet 
Golden Globes (Comedy): One Battle After Another 
BAFTA (Prediction): One Battle After Another 
SAG Actor Ensemble (Prediction): Sinners 


TIB Oscar Prediction: One Battle After Another 




Best Director 

Critic’s Choice: Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another 
Golden Globes: Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another 
DGA: Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another 
BAFTA (Prediction): Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another 




Best Actress 


Critic’s Choice: Jessie Buckley — Hamnet 
Golden Globes (Drama): Jessie Buckley — Hamnet 
Golden Globes (Comedy): Rose Byrne — If I Had Legs I’d Kick You 
BAFTA (Prediction): Jessie Buckley — Hamnet 
SAG Actor (Prediction): Jessie Buckley — Hamnet 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Jessie Buckley — Hamnet 



Marty Supreme (c) A24

Best Actor 


Critic’s Choice: Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme 
Golden Globes (Drama): Wagner Moura — The Secret Agent 
Golden Globes (Comedy): Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme 
BAFTA (Prediction): Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme 
SAG Actor (Prediction): Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme 



One Battle After Another (c) Warner Bros.

Best Supporting Actress 


Critic’s Choice: Amy Madigan — Weapons 
Golden Globes: Teyana Taylor — One Battle After Another 
BAFTA (Prediction): Wunmi Mosaku — Sinners 
SAG (Prediction): Ariana Grande – Wicked: For Good 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Teyana Taylor — One Battle After Another 




Best Supporting Actor 


Critic’s Choice: Jacob Elordi — Frankenstein 
Golden Globes: Stellan Skarsgård — Sentimental Value 
BAFTA (Prediction): Stellan Skarsgård — Sentimental Value 
SAG (Prediction): Jacob Elordi — Frankenstein 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Stellan Skarsgård — Sentimental Value 




Sinners (c) Warner Bros.

Best Original Screenplay 


Critic’s Choice: Sinners 
BAFTA (Prediction): Sentimental Value 
Writer’s Guild Awards (Prediction): Sinners 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Sinners




Best Adapted Screenplay 


Critic’s Choice: One Battle After Another 
Golden Globes: One Battle After Another 
BAFTA (Prediction): One Battle After Another 
Writer’s Guild Awards (Prediction): One Battle After Another 


TIB Oscar Prediction: One Battle After Another 



Sentimental Value (c) NEON

Best International Feature Film 


Critic’s Choice: The Secret Agent (Brazil) 
Golden Globes: The Secret Agent (Brazil) 
BAFTA (Prediction): Sentimental Value (Norway) 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Sentimental Value (Norway) 




KPop Demon Hunters (c) Netflix


Best Animated Feature Film 


Critic’s Choice: KPop Demon Hunters 
Golden Globes: KPop Demon Hunters 
BAFTA (Prediction): Zootopia 2 



TIB Oscar Prediction: KPop Demon Hunters 




Best Casting 


Critic’s Choice: Sinners 
BAFTA (Prediction): I Swear 


TIB Oscar Prediction: Sinners






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