Monday, January 19, 2026

The Interested Bystander’s Final Oscar Nomination Predictions: January 2026

KPop Demon Hunters (c) Netflix


After a pretty uneventful and unsurprising December and early January, most of the films that were deemed worthy have been confirmed to be the frontrunners with barely a threat from any other whippersnapper film hoping to break through. The top three movies after the summer film festivals have always been One Battle After Another, Sinners and Hamnet and they seem unstoppable. I just hope there is some big surprise in one of the major categories this year. I am still holding on to the very slight chance of Jennifer Lawrence and Zoey Deutch making the acting categories (they are in my runners-up section). The nominations will be announced by Danielle Brooks and Lewis Pullman on Thursday morning, Jan 23 


Enjoy!


Train Dreams (c) Netflix


The Interested Bystander’s Final 
2025-26 Oscar Nomination Predictions 




Best Picture 

Bugonia 
Frankenstein 
Hamnet 
It’s Just an Accident 
Marty Supreme 
One Battle After Another 
The Secret Agent 
Sentimental Value 
Sinners 
Train Dreams 


F1 
Wicked: For Good 


Sinners (c) Warner Bros Picture


Best Director 

Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another 
Ryan Coogler — Sinners 
Guillermo del Toro — Frankenstein 
Joachim Trier — Sentimental Value 
Chloé Zhao — Hamnet 


Clint Bentley — Train Dreams 
Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme 


If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (c) A24

Best Actress 

Jessie Buckley — Hamnet 
Rose Byrne — If I Had Legs I’d Kick You 
Chase Infiniti — One Battle After Another 
Renate Reinsve — Sentimental Value 
Emma Stone — Bugonia 


Jennifer Lawrence — Die, My Love 
Eva Victor — Sorry, Baby 



Best Actor 

Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme 
Leonardo DiCaprio — One Battle After Another 
Joel Edgerton — Train Dream 
Michael B. Jordan — Sinners 
Wagner Moura — The Secret Agent 


Ethan Hawke — Blue Moon 
Jesse Plemons – Bugonia 



Best Supporting Actress 

Ariana Grande — Wicked for Good 
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas — Sentimental Value 
Amy Madigan — Weapons 
Wunmi Mosaku — Sinners 
Teyana Taylor — One Battle After Another 


Odessa A’zion — Marty Supreme 
Zoey Deutch — Nouvelle Vague 


One Battle After Another (c) Warner Bros Pictures

Best Supporting Actor 

Benicio del Toro — One Battle After Another 
Jacob Elordi — Frankenstein 
Paul Mescal — Hamnet 
Sean Penn — One Battle After Another 
Stellan Skarsgård — Sentimental Value 


Adam Sandler — Jay Kelly 
Andrew Scott — Blue Moon 



Best Original Screenplay 

It Was Just an Accident 
Marty Supreme 
Sentimental Value 
Sinners 
Sorry, Baby 


Blue Moon 
Jay Kelly 


Bugonia (c) Focus Features

Best Adapted Screenplay 

Bugonia 
Frankenstein 
Hamnet 
One Battle After Another 
Train Dreams 


Hedda 
No Other Choice 


Sirât (c) Neon

Best Original Score 

Frankenstein 
Marty Supreme 
One Battle after Another 
Sinners 
Train Dreams 

 

F1 
Sirât 


Original Song 

“Dear Me” from Diane Warren: Relentless 
“The Girl in the Bubble” from Wicked: For Good 
“Golden” from KPop Demon Hunters 
“I Lied To You” from Sinners 
“Train Dreams” from Train Dreams 


“Dream As One” from Avatar: Fire and Ash 
“Our Love” from The Ballad of Wallis Island




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