Thursday, November 28, 2024

The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Predictions: November 2024

Emilia Pérez (c) Netflix


Happy Thanksgiving to all, and I bet you are here because you’re secretly scrolling around your phone during the interminable __________ (fill in: football game, parade, lunch, Thanksgiving dinner. And for that, you’re welcome. 


Now we are in the thick of Oscar season. I have seen maybe 80% of the potential nominees, so I guess I’m a little less biased since some of these predictions are just based on vibes. Still not sure if the Academy will totally embrace Emilia Pérez, Queer and Nickel Boys or if the popularity of The Substance will overcome to ick factor and get Demi Moore her first Oscar nomination. 


Next month, there will be more clues as the critics group, the Golden Globes and the Oscars shortlist are all released in December. But for now, this is the line-up I predict from my Spidey Oscar Prognosticator Sense.   These are the Top 5 predictions with 2 possible ones.


Enjoy. 



The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Predictions 
November 2024 



Best Picture 

Anora 
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown 
Conclave 
Dune Part 2 
Emilia Pérez 
Nickel Boys 
Sing Sing 
Wicked 
The Wild Robot 


A Real Pain 
September 5  


Conclave (c) Focus Features

Best Director 

Jacques Audiard - Emilia Pérez
Sean Baker - Anora
Edward Berger - Conclave 
Brady Corbet - The Brutalist 
Denis Villeneuve - Dune: Part Two

 

Pedro Almodóvar - The Room Next Door 
RaMell Ross - Nickel Boys 


Wicked (c) Universal Pictures


Best Actress 

Cynthia Erivo - Wicked 
Karla Sofía Gascón - Emilia Pérez 
Angelina Jolie - Maria
Nicole Kidman - Babygirl
Mikey Madison - Anora 


Demi Moore – The Substance 
Saoirse Ronan - The Outrun

 

Best Actor 

Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
Timothée Chalamet - A Complete Unknown 
Daniel Craig - Queer 
Colman Domingo - Sing Sing 
Ralph Fiennes - Conclave 


Jesse Eisenberg - A Real Pain 
Sebastian Stan - A Different Man


A Complete Unknown (c) Searchlight Pictures


Best Supporting Actress 

Monica Barbaro – A Complete Unknown 
Joan Chen - Dìdi 
Ariana Grande - Wicked 
Isabella Rosselini - Conclave 
Zoe Saldaña - Emilia Pérez 


Danielle Deadwyler - The Piano Lesson 
Felicity Jones - The Brutalist



Anora (c) NEON


Best Supporting Actor 

Yuri Borisov - Anora 
Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain
Clarence Maclin - Sing Sing 
Guy Pearce – The Brutalist 
Denzel Washington - Gladiator 2 


Lamorne Morris - Saturday Night 
Edward Norton - A Complete Unknown


Best Original Screenplay 

Anora 
The Brutalist
Hard Truths 
The Room Next Door 
A Real Pain


September 5
The Substance 



Gladiator II (c) Paramount Pictures

Best Adapted Screenplay 

Conclave 
Dune: Part Two 
Emilia Pérez
Gladiator 2 
Inside Out 2 


Nickel Boys 
The Piano Lesson 


Best Score 

The Brutalist - Daniel Blumberg
Challengers - Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
Conclave - Volker Bertelmann
Emilia Pérez - Clément Ducol and Camille 
The Wild Robot - Kris Bowers 


The Room Next Door – Alberto Iglesias 
Saturday Night - Jon Batiste



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