Past Lives (c) A23
With the critics group weighing in and the Oscar shortlist being revealed last week, some favorites are emerging in the Oscar race. Films that seem like shoo-ins a few months ago (Nyad and Saltburn) seem to be losing traction as we head into the start of 2024. Meanwhile question mark films that were released early in the year (Past Lives) or late in the season (The Color Purple) have had their prospect outlooks come into focus.
So, this is how I see the race as of now.
Be aware, the best indicator of a film’s success, the guilds like SAG and the DGA, and the BAFTAs have yet to weigh in.
Enjoy, and Happy Holidays.
The Interested Bystanders
2023-2024 Oscar Predictions
Best Picture
Barbie (c) Warner Bros
American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Color Purple
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
All of Us Strangers
May December
Director
Maestro (c) Netflix
Greta Gerwig – Barbie
Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon
Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things
Celine Song – Past Lives
Bradley Cooper – Maestro
Alexander Payne – The Holdovers
Actress in a Leading Role
Memory (c) Ketchup Entertainment
Annette Bening – Nyad
Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan – Maestro
Emma Stone – Poor Things
Jessica Chastain - Memory
Greta Lee – Past Lives
Actor in a Leading Role
All of Us Strangers (c) Searchlight Pictures
Bradley Cooper – Maestro
Colman Domingo – Rustin
Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer
Andrew Scott – All of Us Strangers
Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction
Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon
Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers
Actress in a Supporting Role
Nyad (c) Netflix
Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple
Jodie Foster – Nyad
Rachel McAdams – Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret
Da'Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers
Taraji P Henson – The Color Purple
Penélope Cruz – Ferrari
Actor in a Supporting Role
Oppenheimer (c) Universal Pictures
Robert DeNiro – Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling – Barbie
Charles Melton – May December
Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things
Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction
Willem Dafoe – Poor Things
Original Screenplay
Air (c) Amazon MGM Studios
Air
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Past Lives
Maestro
May December
Adapted Screenplay
Society of the Snow (c) Netflix
All of Us Strangers
American Fiction
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Thing
Society of the Snow
The Zone of Interest
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