Oscar Class of 2022 (c) Motion Picture Academy of Arts and Science
Here are my Oscar prediction and one longshot (with percentage of likelihood) in all the categoriesas well as The Interested Bystander’s own preference if I was an Oscar voter. You will see that some of the categories are slam dunks (90% and higher) but this year is a lot harder to predict than usual.
Enjoy.
The Interested Bystander’s 95th Academy Awards Predictions
Best Picture
Everything Everywhere All at Once (c) A24
OSCAR: Everything Everywhere All at Once (93%)
LONGSHOT: All Quiet on the Western Front (2%)
TIB: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Director
OSCAR: Everything Everywhere All at Once, Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (95%)
LONGSHOT: The Fabelmans Steven Spielberg (4%)
TIB: Everything Everywhere All at Once, Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert
Best Lead Actress
OSCAR: Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once (45%)
LONGSHOT: Cate Blanchett in Tár (40%)
TIB: Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Lead Actor
Elvis (c) Warner Bros.
OSCAR: Austin Butler in Elvis (40%)
LONGSHOT: Brendan Fraser in The Whale (39%)
TIB: Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Supporting Actress
OSCAR: Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (35%)
LONGSHOT: Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once (34%)
TIB: Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Supporting Actor
OSCAR: Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once (98%)
LONGSHOT: Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin (1%)
TIB: Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Original Screenplay
OSCAR: Everything Everywhere All at Once (55%)
LONGSHOT: The Banshees of Inisherin (40%)
TIB: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Adapted Screenplay
Women Talking (c) United Artists
OSCAR: Women Talking (45%)
LONGSHOT: All Quiet on the Western Front (40%)
TIB: Living
Best International Feature
OSCAR: All Quiet on the Western Front, Germany (96%)
LONGSHOT: The Quiet Girl, Ireland (1%)
TIB: Close, Belgium
Best Animated Feature
OSCAR: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (99%)
LONGSHOT: Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (.03%)
TIB: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Best Documentary
OSCAR: Navalny (45%)
LONGSHOT: Fire of Love (40%)
TIB: All That Breathes
Best Original Score
Babylon (c) Paramount Pictures
OSCAR: Babylon, Justin Hurwitz (45%)
LONGSHOT: All Quiet on the Western Front, Volker Bertelmann (44%)
TIB: The Fabelmans, John Williams
Best Original Song
OSCAR: Naatu Naatu from RRR (60%)
LONGSHOT: This Is a Life from Everything Everywhere All at Once (10%)
TIB: Naatu Naatu from RRR
Best Cinematography
All Quiet on the Western Front (c) Netflix
OSCAR: All Quiet on the Western Front (75%)
LONGSHOT: Elvis (10%)
TIB: Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Best Costume Design
OSCAR: Elvis (60%)
LONGSHOT: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (20%)
TIB: Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Best Film Editing
Everything Everywhere All At Once (c) A24
OSCAR: Everything Everywhere All at Once (75%)
LONGSHOT: Top Gun: Maverick (10%)
TIB: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Production Design
OSCAR: Babylon (45%)
LONGSHOT: Elvis (44%)
TIB: The Fabelmans
Best Sound
OSCAR: Top Gun: Maverick (40%)
LONGSHOT: All Quiet on the Western Front (35%)
TIB: The Batman
Best Animated Short Film
OSCAR: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (55%)
LONGSHOT: My Year of Dicks (35%)
TIB: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
Best Live Action Short Film
Le Pupille (c) Disney+
OSCAR: Le Pupille (65%)
LONGSHOT: An Irish Goodbye (20%)
TIB: Le Pupille
Best Documentary Short Subject
OSCAR: Haulout (40%)
LONGSHOT: The Elephant Whisperers (35%)
TIB: The Elephant Whisperers
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
OSCAR: The Whale (45%)
LONGSHOT: Elvis (40%)
TIB: The Batman
Best Visual Effects
Avatar: The Way of Water (c) 20th Century Studios
OSCAR: Avatar: The Way of Water (99%)
LONGSHOT: Top Gun: Maverick (.03%)
TIB: Avatar: The Way of Water
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