Top Gun: Maverick (c) Paramount Pictures
The Interested Bystander's Oscar Predictions (Ranked)
Welcome to the first Oscar prediction column of the year. Now the nominations have been released, Oscar voters will be catching up on movies they missed, which is probably why “CODA” turned out to be a consensus alternative pick to “The Power of the Dog” last year. So, even though it feels like “Everything Everywhere All at Once” is the frontrunner with its 11 nominations, anything can happen. So, here is how I see the race shaping up to be at this moment, a week after the nominations announcement.
Best Picture
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
The Banshees of Inisherin
Top Gun: Maverick
Avatar: The Way of Water
Tár
Elvis
Triangle of Sadness
All Quiet on the Western Front
Women Talking
Best Directing
The Fabelmans, Steven Spielberg
Everything Everywhere All at Once, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Banshees of Inisherin, Martin McDonagh
Tár, Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness, Ruben Östlund
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett - Tár
Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Andrea Riseborough - To Leslie
Ana de Armas - Blonde
Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans
Best Actor
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Austin Butler - Elvis
Bill Nighy - Living
Paul Mescal - Aftersun
The Whale (c) A24
Best Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
Hong Chau - The Whale
Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Supporting Actor
Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All at Once
Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
Judd Hirsch - The Fabelmans
Brian Tyree Henry - Causeway
Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Original Screenplay
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Tár
The Fabelmans
Triangle of Sadness
Glass Onion (c) Netflix
Best Adapted Screenplay
Women Talking
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
All Quiet on the Western Front
Top Gun: Maverick
Best International Feature
All Quiet on the Western Front, Germany
EO, Poland
Argentina, 1985, Argentina
The Quiet Girl, Ireland
Close, Belgium
The Sea Beast (c) Netflix
Best Animated Feature
Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
The Sea Beast
Best Documentary Feature
Navalny
Fire of Love
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
All That Breathes
A House Made of Splinters
Best Original Score
Babylon, Justin Hurwitz
The Fabelmans, John Williams
The Banshees of Inisherin, Carter Burwell
All Quiet on the Western Front, Volker Bertelmann
Everything Everywhere All at Once, Son Lux
Best Original Song
Naatu Naatu from RRR
By M.M. Keeravaani & Chandrabose
Hold My Hand from Top Gun: Maverick
By Lady Gaga & BloodPop
This Is a Life from Everything Everywhere All at Once
By Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski
Lift Me Up from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
By Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson
Applause from Tell It like a Woman
By Diane Warren
Bardo (c) Netflix
Best Cinematography
All Quiet on the Western Front
Elvis
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Empire of Light
Tár
Best Costume Design
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Babylon
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Best Film Editing
Top Gun: Maverick
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Elvis
The Banshees of Inisherin
Tár
Best Production Design
All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Fabelmans
Avatar: The Way of Water
Elvis
Best Sound
Top Gun: Maverick
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Elvis
The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (c) Disney+
Best Animated Short Film
The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
My Year of Dicks
An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It
Ice Merchants
The Flying Sailor
Best Live Action Short Film
Le Pupille
An Irish Goodbye
Ivalu
Night Ride
The Red Suitcase
Best Documentary Short Subject
Haulout
The Elephant Whisperers
The Martha Mitchell Effect
How Do You Measure a Year?
Stranger at the Gate
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c) Disney, Marvel Studios
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
The Whale
Elvis
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
All Quiet on the Western Front
The Batman
Best Visual Effects
Avatar: The Way of Water
All Quiet on the Western Front
Top Gun: Maverick
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
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