Friday, December 30, 2022

The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Predictions: December 2022

All Quiet on the Western Front (c) Netflix

Here is the last prediction article for 2022. I will do one more before the nominations are announced on January 24, 2023 including who I would nominate if I had a ballot. Also, I will stick with gut to say that Colin Farrell and Brendan Gleason will both be nominated for Best Actor although Gleason is being campaigned for Supporting Actor.  Enjoy. 


Triangle of Sadness (c) NEON

Best Picture 


Frontrunners: 
“Avatar: The Way of Water” 
“The Banshees of Inisherin” 
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
“Elvis” 
“The Fabelmans” 
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” 
“RRR” 
“TÁR” 
“Top Gun: Maverick” 
“Women Talking” 


Possible: 
“All Quiet on the Western Front” 
“Babylon” 
“Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio” 
“Triangle of Sadness” 


Everything Everywhere All At Once (c) A24


Best Director 


Frontrunners:
Todd Field – "TÁR"
Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – "Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” 
Steven Spielberg – “The Fabelmans” 


Possible: 
James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” 
Damien Chazelle – “Babylon” 
Guillermo del Toro - “Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio” 
Alejandro González Iñárritu – “Bardo” 
S.S. Rajamouli – “RRR” 


Aftersun (c) A24

Best Actor 


Frontrunners: 
Austin Butler – “Elvis” 
Colin Farrell – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Brendan Fraser – “The Whale” 
Brendan Gleeson – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Jeremy Pope – “The Inspection” 


Possible: 
Diego Calva – “Babylon” 
Daniel Craig – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” 
Hugh Jackman – “The Son” 
Paul Mescal – “Aftersun” 
Bill Nighy – “Living” 


The Fabelmans (c) Universal Pictures

Best Actress 


Frontrunners: 
Cate Blanchett – “TÁR” 
Olivia Colman – “Empire of Light” 
Viola Davis – “The Woman King” 
Michelle Williams – “The Fabelmans” 
Michelle Yeoh – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 


Possible: 
Ana de Armis – “Blonde” 
Danielle Deadwyler - “Till” 
Jennifer Lawrence – “Causeway” 
Margot Robbie – “Babylon” 
Emma Thompson – “Good Luck to You, Leo Grande” 


Women Talking (c) United Artists 


Best Supporting Actor 


Frontrunners: 
Paul Dano – “The Fabelmans” 
Brian Tyree Henry – “Causeway” 
Barry Keoghan – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Ke Huy Quan – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
Eddie Redmayne – “The Good Nurse” 


Possible: 
Judd Hirsch – “The Fabelmans” 
Anthony Hopkins – “Armageddon Time” 
Brad Pitt – “Babylon” 
Ben Whishaw – “Women Talking” 
Steven Yuen – “Nope” 


The Banshees of Inisherin (c) Searchlight Pictures

Best Supporting Actress 


Frontrunners: 
Jessie Buckley – “Women Talking” 
Kerry Condon – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Jamie Lee Curtis – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
Emma Thompson – “Roald Dahl’s Mathilda” 
Gabrielle Union – “The Inspection” 


Possible: 
Angela Bassett – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” 
Dolly De Leon – “Triangle of Sadness” 
Nina Hoss - “TÁR” 
Stephanie Hsu – “Everything Everywhere All At Once” 
Janelle Monáe – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” 




Babylon (c) Paramount Pictures


Best Original Screenplay 

Frontrunners: 
“Babylon” 
“The Banshees of Inisherin” 
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
“The Fabelmans” 
“TÁR” 


Possible: 
“Aftersun” 
“Armageddon Time” 
“Decision to Leave” 
“Nope” 
“Triangle of Sadness” 



White Noise (c) Netflix

Best Adapted Screenplay 


Frontrunners: 
“After Yang” 
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” 
“Living” 
“She Said” 
“Women Talking” 


Possible: 
“All Quiet on the Western Front” 
“Avatar: The Way of Water” 
"The Northman” 
“The Whale" 
“White Noise”




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