Tuesday, November 30, 2021

Oscars Outlook 2021: November 2021

The Eyes of Tammy Faye (c) Searchlight Pictures

November 2021 

I have now caught up with a lot of the movies vying for Oscar glory (believe me, no one will ever see ALL the potential nominees in any given year), and I still more to watch (as of this writing, I finally watched “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” released earlier this year). The clue to accurate predicting of the Oscars is to not let your personal opinions color your Oscar prognostications. Let’s take “Tammy Faye,” the film is a pretty standard biopic, but after watching the movie, I could tell that Jessica Chastain has a pretty good chance with the acting branch. It’s the kind of performance that critics may dismiss but the Academy embraces, similar to say Rene Zellwegger in “Judy” or Rami Malek in “Bohemian Rhapsody.” 

With that in mind, let’s see where we are with the state of the race at the end of November. 

Best Picture

The French Dispatch (c) Searchlight Pictures

Being the Ricardos 
The French Dispatch 
The Green Knight 
King Richard
The Power of the Dog
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story 

C'mon C'mon
The Hand of God 
Licorice Pizza 
The Lost Daughter 
Nightmare Alley 
Parallel Mothers
tick, tick…Boom! 

Give Some Love to: 
In the Heights 
Swan Song 

Best Actor

tick, tick...Boom! (c) Netflix

Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos 
Benedict Cumberbatch - The Power of the Dog 
Andrew Garfield – tick, tick…Boom! 
Will Smith - King Richard 
Denzel Washington - The Tragedy of Macbeth 

Mahershala Ali – Swan Song 
Jude Hill – Belfast 
Michael Keaton - Worth 
Dev Patel – The Green Knight 
Joaquin Phoenix – C'mon C'mon

Give Some Love to: 
Peter Dinklage – Cyrano 
Oscar Issac – The Card Counter 
Simon Rex – Red Rocket

Best Actress 

Being the Ricardos (c) Amazon Prime 

Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye 
Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter
Jennifer Hudson – Respect 
Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos 
Kristen Stewart – Spencer

Halle Berry - Bruised 
Penélope Cruz – Parallel Mothers 
Lady Gaga – House of Gucci
Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth 
Tessa Thompson – Passing 

Give Some Love to: 
Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley 
Emilia Jones – CODA 
Renate Runsve – The Worst Person in the World 

Best Supporting Actor 

The Power of the Dog (c) Netflix

Ciarán Hinds – Belfast 
Troy Kotsur – CODA 
Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog 
J.K. Simmons – Being the Ricardos 
Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog 

Jon Berenthal – King Richard  
Corey Hawkins – The Tragedy of Macbeth 
Jared Leto – House of Gucci 
Timothy Spall - Spencer
Jeffrey Wright – The French Dispatch 

Give Some Love to: 
Ben Affleck – The Tender Bar 
Reed Birney – Mass 
Stanley Tucci – Worth 

Best Supporting Actress

King Richard (c) Warner Bros

Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog 
Judi Dench – Belfast 
Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard 
Marlee Matlin – CODA 
Ruth Negga – Passing 

Caitriona Balfe – Belfast 
Ariana DeBose – West Side Story 
Ann Dowd – Mass
Sally Hawkins – Spencer 
Jayne Houdyshell – The Humans 

Give Some Love to: 
Jessie Buckley – The Lost Daughter 
Rooney Mara – Nightmare Alley 
Olga Merediz – In the Heights 

Best Director 

Parallel Mothers (c) Sony Pictures Classics

Kenneth Branagh – Belfast 
Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog 
David Lowery – The Green Knight
Steven Spielberg – West Side Story
Denis Villeneuve – Dune 

Pedro Almodóvar – Parallel Mothers 
Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch 
Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza 
Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley 
Reinaldo Marcus Green – King Richard 

Give Some Love to: 
Julia Ducournau – Titane 
Lin-Manuel Miranda – tick, tick…Boom! 
Aaron Sorkin – Being the Ricardos 

Best Original Screenplay 

C'mon C'mon (c) A24

Belfast – Kenneth Branagh 
C'mon C'mon – Mike Mills 
King Richard – Zach Baylin 
Licorice Pizza – Paul Thomas Anderson 
Parallel Mothers – Pedro Almodóvar 

Being the Ricardos - Aaron Sorkin 
Bergman Island – Mia Hansen-Løve 
The French Dispatch - Wes Anderson, Jason Schwartzman, Roman Coppola 
A Hero – Asghar Farhadi 
Titane – Julia Ducournau 

Give Some Love to: 
Luca – Enrico Casarosa, Jesse Andrews, Simons Stephenson 
Red Rocket – Sean Baker 
Spencer – Steven Knight 

Best Adapted Screenplay

CODA (c) Apple TV+ 

The Green Knight – David Lowery 
The Lost Daughter – Maggie Gyllenhaal 
Nightmare Alley – Guillermo del Toro, Kim Morgan 
The Power of the Dog – Jane Campion 
West Side Story – Tony Kushner 

CODA – Siân Heder 
Dune – Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve, Eric Roth 
Passing – Rebecca Hall 
tick, tick…Boom! – Steven Levenson 
Worth – Max Borenstein 

Give Some Love to: 
The Humans – Stephen Karam 
The Tender Bar – William Monaham 
The Tragedy of Macbeth – Joel Coen

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